Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Hartlepool
28.2%
Draw
26.9%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Hartlepool
vs
1.08
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).