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19 Feb 2022 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.1%
Cercle Brugge
23.2%
Draw
22.7%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.20

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).