Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Bristol City
30.6%
Draw
24.7%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Bristol City
vs
0.88
Oxford
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).