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29 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
24.5%
Draw
26.3%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Milton Keynes Dons

vs
1.04

Walsall

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).