Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Bordeaux
19.7%
Draw
56.4%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Bordeaux
vs
2.23
Lorient
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
4.8%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).