Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Watford
30.0%
Draw
16.9%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Watford
vs
0.66
Wigan
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).