Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Oldham
24.3%
Draw
16.6%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Oldham
vs
0.87
Dorking
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).