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14 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
AFC Wimbledon
31.5%
Draw
31.0%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

AFC Wimbledon

vs
0.85

Bradford

Markets

BTTS34.7%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.4%
0-0
15.8%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).