Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.2%
Newport County
20.7%
Draw
65.0%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Newport County
vs
1.87
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.1%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).