Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Chesterfield
23.3%
Draw
27.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Chesterfield
vs
1.17
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).