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30 Jul 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
Blackpool
28.1%
Draw
29.0%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Blackpool

vs
1.13

Reading

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).