Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Pescara
27.1%
Draw
28.6%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Pescara
vs
1.23
Padova
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).