Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Ascoli
31.0%
Draw
37.6%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Ascoli
vs
1.21
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).