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20 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.4%
York
16.9%
Draw
11.7%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

2.66

York

vs
1.03

Solihull

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
1-0
6.0%
4-1
5.4%
4-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).