Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
St Pauli
25.9%
Draw
28.3%
Hannover
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
St Pauli
vs
1.30
Hannover
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).