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07 Dec 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.8%
Slough Town
14.7%
Draw
73.5%
Macclesfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Slough Town

vs
2.75

Macclesfield

Markets

BTTS60.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
0-3
7.9%
0-1
6.5%
1-1
6.3%
1-4
5.6%
0-4
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
1-5
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).