Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Ulm
30.4%
Draw
48.4%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Ulm
vs
1.35
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).