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28 Nov 2021 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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1.8%
Yeni Malatyaspor
10.0%
Draw
88.2%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.44

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
3.16

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS35.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
14.4%
0-2
13.6%
0-4
11.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-5
7.2%
1-3
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
1-4
5.0%
1-1
4.8%
0-0
3.7%
1-5
3.2%
2-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).