Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Vallecano
28.1%
Draw
31.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Vallecano
vs
1.10
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).