Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.1%
Lincoln
15.6%
Draw
10.3%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Lincoln
vs
0.69
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
4.5%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).