Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Alaves
33.5%
Draw
17.3%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Alaves
vs
0.53
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS28.0%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.549.1%
Over 2.522.6%
Over 3.58.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.1%
0-0
19.8%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-0
4.4%
1-2
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).