Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Hamburg
26.9%
Draw
43.8%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Hamburg
vs
1.52
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).