Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Bolton
27.0%
Draw
30.5%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Bolton
vs
0.96
Stockport
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
0-1
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).