Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Alcorcon
23.7%
Draw
56.9%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Alcorcon
vs
1.70
Santander
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).