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AHT: 01CSV

17 Jun 2020 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Extremadura UD
28.6%
Draw
29.9%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Extremadura UD

vs
0.99

Albacete

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).