Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Derby
28.1%
Draw
33.5%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Derby
vs
1.25
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).