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31 Oct 2025 · 19:00

Rodez

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.7%
Montpellier
22.8%
Draw
29.5%
Rodez

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Montpellier

vs
1.20

Rodez

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).