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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Tipton Town
31.7%
Draw
25.0%
Larkhall Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Tipton Town

vs
0.72

Larkhall Athletic

Markets

BTTS33.0%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.526.2%
Over 3.510.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.3%
0-0
16.6%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).