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AHT: 00CSV

25 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Lecce

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Venezia
32.5%
Draw
30.6%
Lecce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Venezia

vs
0.84

Lecce

Markets

BTTS34.5%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.553.0%
Over 2.526.5%
Over 3.510.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.6%
1-0
16.2%
0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).