Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Tavistock
16.0%
Draw
70.9%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Tavistock
vs
2.55
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.9%
0-3
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
1-4
5.1%
0-4
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.7%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).