Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.2%
St Pauli
10.4%
Draw
6.3%
Harpenden Town
Expected Goals (xG)
3.19
St Pauli
vs
0.82
Harpenden Town
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
6.0%
5-0
5.0%
1-1
4.6%
5-1
4.1%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).