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AHT: 11CSV

11 Feb 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Valencia
29.4%
Draw
32.2%
Ath Bilbao

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Valencia

vs
1.07

Ath Bilbao

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).