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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.8%
Horsham
8.7%
Draw
6.5%
Broadbridge Heath

Expected Goals (xG)

3.97

Horsham

vs
1.19

Broadbridge Heath

Markets

BTTS68.3%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.596.4%
Over 2.588.8%
Over 3.575.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
7.1%
4-1
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
5-0
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-2
4.2%
5-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).