⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 10CSV

06 Oct 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
22.7%
Kidderminster
27.4%
Draw
49.8%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Kidderminster

vs
1.56

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).