Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Plymouth
25.4%
Draw
45.2%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Plymouth
vs
1.72
QPR
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).