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DHT: 11CSV

26 Mar 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Ibiza
25.7%
Draw
47.9%
Sociedad B

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Ibiza

vs
1.49

Sociedad B

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).