Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Queens Park
25.9%
Draw
20.8%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Queens Park
vs
0.96
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).