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20 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.7%
Rotherham
25.5%
Draw
44.8%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Rotherham

vs
1.32

Stockport

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).