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27 Sept 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.9%
Karagumruk
20.4%
Draw
67.7%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Karagumruk

vs
2.55

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.9%
0-3
7.5%
0-1
5.1%
1-4
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-4
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
2-1
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).