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01 Oct 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.6%
Nurnberg
23.6%
Draw
28.8%
Magdeburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Nurnberg

vs
1.51

Magdeburg

Markets

BTTS67.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).