Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Las Palmas
27.7%
Draw
19.1%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Las Palmas
vs
0.70
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.9%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).