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13 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.4%
Crotone
26.1%
Draw
46.5%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Crotone

vs
1.69

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).