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Zagreb

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02 May 2026 · 00:00

Rijeka

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Zagreb
30.2%
Draw
30.3%
Rijeka

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Zagreb

vs
1.13

Rijeka

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).