Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Milan
24.1%
Draw
18.0%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Milan
vs
0.79
Bologna
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).