Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Portimonense
25.0%
Draw
40.6%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Portimonense
vs
1.39
Aves
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).