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24 Apr 2025 · 18:00

Girona

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.7%
Leganes
27.5%
Draw
28.8%
Girona

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Leganes

vs
1.07

Girona

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).