Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
AFC Wimbledon
32.2%
Draw
24.0%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.67
Accrington
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.550.2%
Over 2.524.3%
Over 3.59.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.3%
0-0
17.7%
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).