Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Newport County
26.5%
Draw
45.7%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Newport County
vs
1.34
Oldham
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).