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01 Sept 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.3%
Jagiellonia Białystok
25.7%
Draw
20.0%
Widzew Lodz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Jagiellonia Białystok

vs
0.97

Widzew Lodz

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).