Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Fuenlabrada
27.4%
Draw
19.0%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Fuenlabrada
vs
0.70
Lugo
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).